Donald Trump forced to take bush path to campaign venue

The moves to stop Republican Party frontrunner, Donald Trump seem to be getting more desperate by the day.

Yesterday anti-Trump protesters blocked the entrance to a hotel where Mr Trump was meant to speak to Republican Party members during the California Republican Convention.

Mr Trump had to take a bush path into the hotel. Mr Trump made light of the situation. He said during his speech; “I felt like I was crossing the border.” Continue reading “Donald Trump forced to take bush path to campaign venue”

Why it would be bad politics if the Republican establishment stops Trump at the convention

The race for the Republican nomination in this year’s US presidential elections has not been as smooth as Donald Trump would like it to be. Let us not forget Wisconsin and the time around that, when it seemed like the Trump campaign was going into a total meltdown.

Trump, Republican establishment, US 2016 presidential elections
The Republican establishment should be careful the way they handle the Trump issue. If not, it may boomerang on them.

Fast forward to the New York primaries and Trump is back in the saddle. Trump has the most votes, the most delegates and has won the most primaries. In fact, it is safe to say that the Republican grassroots have made their choice known as to whom they want as the Republican Party nominee for president against Hillary Clinton.

So, what will it say about the Republican establishment if they hide behind rarely used convention rules to deny the grassroots their choice? That could lead to a controversy that may tear at the soul of the Grand Old Party, and a McCarthist controversy that would automatically blacklist lots of establishment politicians – for the grassroots will neither forgive nor fail to punish such an undemocratic move.

If Trump almost wins the Republican primaries and someone else is nominated – either someone that was beaten by Trump, or even worse, someone who didn’t even run against Trump – it would look so undemocratic, that I wonder what the establishment would then comfortably tell the grassroots. ‘Look, people, we have to deny you your choice, because frankly, we don’t like his style’. That would be sen as a great insult by the grassroots  and it will turn this year’s election into a bitter row between the establishment and the grassroots that may automatically hand victory to the Democrats.

Hillary Clinton and her team would not cease to use that to make fun of the GOP as a bunch of undemocratic politicians that shouldn’t be given the chance to rule the US of A, and many voters would listen. The GOP would have a smear as ‘ the undemocratic party’ that may be hard to wash off for many years.

Donald Trump himself would most likely lead a bunch of angry Republicans out of the Republican Party and a third Party would be formed that would at best divide the Republican traditional vote, just as happened when Ross Perot entered the 1992 race and denied George Bush Sr a second term.

As far as the issue of what to do about Trump is concerned, the Republican establishment faces the horns of a dilemma. Any side they turn to, they are gored. The best thing they should do is what I have advised on previous posts. They should negotiate with Trump, now that they still have some leverage -the stick of a contested convention- and secure important cabinet posts and the vice presidential candidacy.

The anti-Trump candidate they have been searching for should instead become the Trump Vice Presidential candidate. That way, they’ll leave their party united, while placing a check on a future president Trump. They could draft Cruz, Kasich, Paul Ryan, Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, anyone they feel would be strong enough to keep Trump in check and preserve some of their prestige/worldview.

Mr Trump is a deal maker, doesn’t want to head to a contested convention, and has called severally for the party to unite around him, so he will be amenable t a negotiated settlement.

For the Republican Establishment, beating Trump at a contested convention would be at best a pyrrhic victory.

The Republican Establishment Should Negotiate With Trump, Not Fight Him


‘President Donald Trump of the United States, POTUS.’ That phrase if uttered in certain parts of the Republican establishment, would send shivers down the spines of many. It would send them into paroxysms of grief concerning an event that has not yet happened. It would make many conservatives have nightmares where they can be heard screaming the aloud, the words ‘Trump! Trump! No! Trump!’, while at the same they sob in their sleep.

And when they are awake, should you dare to utter the phrase ‘Donald Trump, next president’; some country club-like gentlemen would feel like folding up their shirt sleeves and giving you a sucker punch. But that phrase which is currently is a dream of many that is very likely to become reality come November this year. To borrow the Game of Thrones phrase ‘Winter Is Coming’ to the Republican establishment.

Why does the Republican establishment feel so uneasy about Donald Trump? He is everything they are not. He has never held any public office before, unlike former Governor Jeb Bush, Senators Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio, Ohio Governor John Kasich, just to mention a few. One of the rites of joining the Republican establishment is that one would be expected to have held some previous political post or the other, before being taken seriously in attempting the highest post of all – the US presidency.

Even one of the noblest politicians to come from the Republican Party’s stables, Abraham Lincoln held several political offices before he ran for president. But here is a man who has spent most of his life as a businessman suddenly leading the field and becoming the presidential front-runner of the Republican Party. That must be rankling to a lot of people right now.

Added to that, Donald Trump cannot be classified as your everyday conservative. He is too pro-abortion, to secular, to pragmatic to be pigeonholed as a conservative. And the Republican Party is ‘supposed to be the home of conservatives’. Either you are a fiscal conservative or you are a social conservative. If you are a social conservative, you are expected to be very much opposed to abortion and a woman’s right to choose (even if she is raped). But instead Donald Trump is seen by many Republican politicians as representing the ‘loser liberal values of New York’, that stronghold of liberalism.

If you are a fiscal conservative, you are supposed to be for Small Government like Ronald Reagan. That is, you are supposed to favor yuge and champion hikes in government spending, but only in military industrial complex issues. You are expected to favour tax cuts and huge cuts in funding of welfare projects. But here is Frontrunner Donald shouting that the war in Syria should be outsourced to Russia,  and that America isn’t meant to be the global Policeman, spending fortunes running military bases in  Japan and South Korea.

Here is a Donald Trump berating establishment hero and Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker for not raising taxes to tackle a $2.2 billion deficit and fund schools and roads in Wisconsin. That departure from Republican orthodoxy by their uncontrollable frontrunner must be sending sweat beads of worry down the faces of many in the Republican establishment right now.

So, what caused the rise of Trump? For many years, the handwriting has been on the wall for the establishment but they purposely looked away from it. The Republican grassroots initially communicated its displeasure at what the establishment was doing in Washington by firing a warning shot, called the Tea Party Movement. The Tea Party was ostensibly aimed at Democratic President Barak Obama and his

The Tea Party was ostensibly aimed at Democratic President Barak Obama and his neoliberal policies, but it was a subtle signal to the Republican establishment that,  ‘Hey we are not happy with what’s going on, and we are losing confidence in your ability to make the required difference’. Instead of doing some soul-searching following the emergence of the Tea Partiers, the Republican establishment decided to try and domesticate the Tea Party, and hate its ambassador on Capitol Hill, Ted Cruz.

It was tolerated, rather than listened to, and allowed to die a natural death without so much as a lesson being learnt. The establishment never sat down and said, ‘Hey, why did our grassroots have to form a Tea Party when they already had a Republican Party’? They instead characterized the Tea Part as a trend that would soon fade. And fade it did, only for a more uncontrollable force to emerge from its ashes.

That force is not begging to be listened to but is claiming the right to dictate what must happen, and the Republican Establishment doesn’t like that one bit. But sadly, the grassroots seem to have decided that they would stick to this new force of Trump Republicanism, cutting off the establishment – and the establishment just hasn’t been able to believe that they have been cut off from guiding the future of their Grand Old Party.

For so long the Republican establishment didn’t face up to reality. Instead they buried their heads under the sand. They chose to deal with Trump the same way they dealt with the Tea Party, believing that if they ignored him , he would go away. They and their cadet branch in the right wing media spent the first few months of Trump’s candidacy cracking dry jokes at his expense and speculating about when he would ‘eventually drop out’. By the time they realized that the Donald and the Republican grassroots meant business, it was too late for them. The Donald had won a Republican primary.

The establishment then sat up with a start and began to organize what they have termed the ’Never Trump’ Movement. But disappointingly for them, although they have succeeded in slowing Trump’s momentum, they have not killed it. As far as stopping Trump is concerned, they started the real battle to late. Marco Rubio, Jeb Bush, Mitt Romney have all tried to lead brave cavalry charges against the phalanx that is the  Trump campaign but have failed to break it.

The Anti-Trump movement is a waste of time. They lack unity of purpose (other than the broad aim of stopping Trump) and central coordination; and there is little willingness of candidates to surrender their presidential ambitions and support a central candidate. Billionaire businessmen involved in politics like the Koch Brothers and Michael Bloomberg that would have come with funds and resources have looked at the movement with the critical eyes of businessmen and seen this.

It is now time for the establishment in Washington to stop fighting Trump, and instead negotiate with him. Trump is a dealmaker that has called severally for the Republican Party to unite. That is a signal that he is open to making deals that would see the establishment not totally cut off from power.

The establishment should create a foothold in the Trump presidency, by negotiating for the positions of Vice President and a few strong cabinet positions. That way, they ensure that they have a voice in the coming Trump presidency – should he beat Hillary Clinton – and a living hope that they would survive.